Forecast for BRK.B
Predicted stock prices for the next 40 days
Forecast Chart
Model Metrics
Forecast Accuracy
Quantile Forecast Scenarios
The following scenarios provide a range of possible stock price forecasts using quantiles:
Bearish Scenario
5th Percentile: Predicted downside risk
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Baseline Scenario
50th Percentile: Most likely outcome
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Bullish Scenario
95th Percentile: Predicted upside potential
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Key Quantile Levels
Quantile levels provide a probabilistic view of stock forecasts. They help identify downside risks, central predictions, and upside opportunities:
- 5th Percentile (0.05): Represents the bearish extreme (worst-case scenario).
- 25th Percentile (0.25): Indicates mild downside risk.
- 50th Percentile (0.50): Represents the baseline forecast (most likely outcome).
- 75th Percentile (0.75): Indicates mild upside potential.
- 95th Percentile (0.95): Represents the bullish extreme (best-case scenario).
Using quantile levels helps balance risk and reward, providing a clear understanding of forecast uncertainty for better decision-making.